BMJ 2008;336:432-434 (23 February), doi:10.1136/bmj.39458.563611.AE (published 4 February 2008)
Åse Sivertsen, consultant plastic surgeon1,2, Allen J Wilcox, senior investigator3, Rolv Skjærven, professor2, Hallvard Andreas Vindenes, consultant plastic surgeon1, Frank Åbyholm, professor4, Emily Harville, assistant professor5, Rolv Terje Lie, professor2
1 Department of Plastic Surgery, Haukeland University Hospital, No-5021 Bergen, Norway, 2 Department of Public Health and Primary Health Care, University of Bergen, Kalfarveien 1, N-5018 Bergen, 3 Epidemiology branch, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences, NIH, Durham, NC 27709, USA, 4 Department of Plastic Surgery, Rikshospitalet, N-0027 Oslo, Norway, 5 Department of Epidemiology, Tulane University School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, New Orleans, LA 70112, USA
Correspondence to: Å Sivertsen ase.sivertsen{at}isf.uib.no
Design Population based cohort study.
Setting Data from the medical birth registry of Norway linked with clinical data on virtually all cleft patients treated in Norway over a 35 year period.
Participants 2.1 million children born in Norway between 1967 and 2001, 4138 of whom were treated for an oral cleft.
Main outcome measure Relative risk of recurrence of isolated clefts from parent to child and between full siblings, for anatomic subgroups of clefts.
Results Among first degree relatives, the relative risk of recurrence of cleft was 32 (95% confidence interval 24.6 to 40.3) for any cleft lip and 56 (37.2 to 84.8) for cleft palate only (P difference=0.02). The risk of clefts among children of affected mothers and affected fathers was similar. Risks of recurrence were also similar for parent-offspring and sibling-sibling pairs. The "crossover" risk between any cleft lip and cleft palate only was 3.0 (1.3 to 6.7). The severity of the primary case was unrelated to the risk of recurrence.
Conclusions The stronger family recurrence of cleft palate only suggests a larger genetic component for cleft palate only than for any cleft lip. The weaker risk of crossover between the two types of cleft indicates relatively distinct causes. The similarity of mother-offspring, father-offspring, and sibling-sibling risks is consistent with genetic risk that works chiefly through fetal genes. Anatomical severity does not affect the recurrence risk in first degree relatives, which argues against a multifactorial threshold model of causation.
Given the uncertainty about the causes of clefts, the tendency for clefts to recur in families is striking. Estimates of the risk of recurrence for first degree relatives (defined as the prevalence of clefting in first degree relatives compared with the population prevalence) range from 24-fold to 82-fold.3 4 Such estimates are useful for genetic counselling.5 6 They can also provide evidence for inferences on causation. Fogh-Andersen showed that cleft palate is causally different from cleft lip with and without cleft palate by showing that families at high risk for one are not at increased risk for the other.7
We used a population based study of clinically verified cases to estimate familial risks of recurrence of clefting in first degree relatives and to describe the risk of recurrence by severity of the cleft. We also considered whether having a cleft of a certain type (or having a child with a cleft) affects subsequent reproduction.
Between 1967 and 1983, 944 908 babies
were born in Norway. We
excluded plural births from these analyses, as twinning has a
heritable component and is also associated with a risk of oral
clefts.8 We were able to follow this cohort of children to
2001, at which time the cohort was 18-34 years of age. During this
time, 367 301 of the babies reported in the registry had become
parents of babies also reported in the registry (fig 1
).
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We also linked full siblings in order to
estimate the recurrence
risk of clefts in sibships. By 2001, 572 772 babies had at least
one subsequent full sibling in the registry (with the same mother
and father) (fig 2
). Again, we estimated the risk of recurrence as the
relative risk of recurrence.
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We graded the severity of the cleft on the basis of the morphological details of the cleft in the clinical records (initial surgical report, photographs, and study casts).2 We classified cleft lip by laterality (right or left) and graded it as "1" (mild) when restricted to the lip, "2" (moderate) with cleft in the lip and alveolar ridge, and "3" (severe) with complete cleft of the primary palate. We graded cleft palate as "1" (mild) in cases with submucous cleft of the soft palate, "2" (moderate) with overt cleft of the soft palate, and "3" (severe) with cleft of the soft and hard secondary palate.
We excluded cleft index cases with any other birth defect (10% of cleft lip, 29% of cleft palate only) because of the possibility that syndromic cases might have a different underlying genetic predisposition, with a correspondingly different risk of recurrence. We also restricted the index cleft cases to those who had been referred for surgical treatment, as these cases had a morphological description of their cleft. When estimating recurrence risks, we considered the total risk of oral clefts, including stillbirths, cases with other birth defects, and cases in the registry who never received surgery (usually because of death). In the estimations of severity, side, and location of the cleft in the recurrent cases, we could use only the clinically verified cases, as these had a morphological description of their clefts. If the description of the cleft in the clinical record did not match the diagnosis in the medical birth registry, we used the diagnosis in the clinical record.
Follow-up in siblings
We found 1554 women whose first registered child had an oral cleft
(fig 2
). Of these women, 879 (57%) had a subsequent child
with the same father, the same proportion as for mothers whose
first registered child had no defect. Among the subsequent siblings
of the cleft cases, 4.6% had an oral cleft compared with 0.2%
of the siblings of unaffected babies.
Specificity in recurrence of
cleft types
The estimates of recurrence did
not differ for parent-offspring recurrence and sibling-sibling
recurrence for any of the cleft types (cleft lip only, P
difference=0.32; cleft lip and palate, P difference=0.21; cleft
palate only, P difference=0.86) (tables 1
and 2
). We therefore pooled the generational data with the
full sibling data to estimate joint recurrence risks of subgroups
of clefts for first degree relatives.
Recurrence for first
degree relatives combined
We estimated the
overall risk of recurrence of cleft lip as 32-fold (95% confidence
interval 24.6 to 40.3) (table 3
). We found no difference in recurrence of cleft lip
from mother to offspring or from father to offspring (relative risks
27.1 and 26.6; P difference=0.97). Recurrence of cleft lip in
siblings was slightly higher than recurrence from parents to
offspring (relative risks 35.1 and 26.7), but these estimates were
also not significantly different (P difference=0.31).
The risk of recurrence of cleft lip in first degree relatives was not different with right sided or left sided unilateral cleft lip (data not shown) (P difference=0.59). We found no apparent tendency for cleft lip to re-occur on the same side as the index case. We found the well known left predominance of cleft lip in cases born into unaffected families as well as in the recurrent cases.
The apparent absence of an effect of severity of cleft on risk of recurrence has implications for genetic counselling. Severe clefting in one child does not increase the risk of a subsequent child being affected; similarly, the occurrence of a mild defect does not insulate the family from the generally high recurrence of clefts or from a severe version of the defect should it occur in other family members.
Strengths and weaknesses
Data quality?This study combined a large sample size and
population coverage with a high level of clinical detail and
verification from surgical examinations.2 The use of the compulsory
national registration of births in the medical birth registry,
together with low rates of emigration, has made the data virtually
complete.
Study design?We calculated risks of recurrence on the basis of treated cases of index oral clefts cases with siblings or offspring with oral clefts who did not necessarily have to be live born and survive. The risks might be different for those whose index case was stillborn or did not survive to surgery. Given the low absolute risk of clefts even among first degree relatives of clefts cases (less than 5%), odds ratios provide a good estimate of the relative risk. We confirmed this by using the relative risks from log-binomial regression models to replicate the odds ratios of the logistic regression models. Although agreement between the two models was good, the log-binomial regressions did not always converge, so we present results from the logistic regression analyses.
Bias?In order to determine whether intentionally terminated pregnancies might have biased our results, we searched the registry for terminated pregnancies with facial clefts. Before 1999, the registry combined elective terminations with stillbirths, so we could not identify clefts specifically among the terminated pregnancies. Starting in 1999, terminations have been registered separately from stillbirths. In the period 1999 to 2005, 1250 terminations took place as a result of birth defects. Eighteen of these fetuses were recorded as having facial clefts, 16 of which had multiple defects and two had facial clefts only. Neither of these two mothers had facial clefts themselves. Although a few terminations may have been done for simple facial clefts, such events seem to be very rare and unlikely to distort our analysis.
Comparison with previous studies
Oral clefts have one of the highest rates of familial recurrence of
any class of birth defects.3 9 10 Confining our
analysis
to isolated or assumed non-syndromic cases, we found very similar
rates of recurrence among the two types of first degree relatives
(siblings and parent-child). This has also been seen in previous
studies.4 11 12 13
Accordingly, we pooled all first degree relatives in our estimation
of recurrence risks.
As in the classic study of Fogh-Anderson,7 risk of recurrence in our data was quite specific for cleft lip to cleft lip and for cleft palate only to cleft palate only, although we did find a threefold elevation in the risk of either cleft type after the occurrence of the other. This crossover risk may be caused by genes such as MSX1 or rare syndromes that can produce both cleft lip and cleft palate only.14 15
Regarding the social impact of facial clefts, we saw a slightly decreased rate of reproduction among women with clefts and a stronger decrease for men with clefts within our follow-up period. These differences have been suggested in earlier data from Norway.3 10 We saw no tendency for couples with one affected child to change their subsequent reproductive patterns.
Genetic models of cleft
inheritance
The lack of difference between
mother-offspring and father-offspring recurrence for cleft lip and
cleft palate only has implications for the genetic model.16
If maternal genes operating during pregnancy had a major impact,
mother-offspring recurrence should have been higher than
father-offspring recurrence. The lack of such a difference also
indicates that genes subject to genomic imprinting or operating
through maternal mitochondrial mechanisms are not major contributors
to the risk of oral clefts. Thus, fetal genes are likely to explain
the great majority of genetic risk in oral clefts.
Furthermore, as we did not find sibling recurrence to be detectably higher than parent-offspring recurrence, persistent environmental factors carried by the mother apparently have much weaker effects than genes. The estimated sibling recurrence of cleft lip was higher than parent-offspring recurrence (although not significantly different), suggesting that environmental effects could be more important for cleft lip than for cleft palate only.
The absence of an effect of severity of cleft on risk of recurrence was unexpected. Previous studies of first degree relatives have reported that risk of recurrence may increase from 2.5% to 5.7%, depending on the severity of the index case. However, these estimates were based on smaller numbers and coarser definitions of the severity of clefts.5 6 With much more statistical power and careful clinical criteria for severity, we found no evidence of an effect of severity on risk of recurrence. The mildest cleft lip produced a risk of recurrence indistinguishable from that seen with the most severe defect. Furthermore, the severity of the recurring defect in our data was unrelated to the severity of the index case.
These observations contradict standard textbooks on medical genetics,17 18 which state that the familial risk of recurrence of cleft increases with severity of cleft in the proband. This increase is regarded as an example of the multifactorial threshold model of inheritance. A general principle of this model is that familial risk is greatest among relatives of the most severely affected patients. More severe disease presumably indicates a greater load in the family of the alleles assumed to predispose to disease.19 20 21 Another prediction of the threshold model is that if a condition is more common in one sex (say, females), then relatives of an affected male will be at a higher absolute risk than relatives of an affected female. Our data had a predominance of females in the cleft palate only category and a predominance of males in the cleft lip category,2 but we found no difference in absolute risk by sex of the index case. Our data are consistent with a few other studies suggesting that cleft lip and cleft palate do not fit the multifactorial threshold model.12 15 22 23 24 Other genetic models seem to be needed to explain why severity is nearly independent of heritability.
Conclusions
We found strong specificity of risk of recurrence for the two major
types of clefts, showing their nearly distinct causes. The risk of
clefts was similar among the children of affected fathers, the
children of affected mothers, and the full siblings of affected
cases. This pattern indicates that autosomal fetal genes make the
major contribution to risk of recurrence, with little additional
contribution from heritable aspects of the maternal phenotype. We
found no evidence that the severity of the defect affects the risk of
recurrence for either type. This raises doubts about the widely
accepted multifactorial threshold model of oral cleft inheritance and
opens new possibilities for a genetic model in which severity of
disease is independent of genes predisposing for oral clefting.
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Funding: This work was supported by grants from the Norwegian Research Council, Helse Vest, and from NIH (2RO1 DE-11948-04). This work was supported in part by the Intramural Research Program of the NIH, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences and Quality Assurance Foundation II of the Norwegian Medical Association.
Competing interests: None declared.
Ethical approval: Norwegian Data Inspectorate. Studies of anonymous data from health registries do not require review by a regional committee for medical research ethics in Norway.
Provenance and peer review: Not commissioned; externally peer reviewed.